The Bali Homes Investment Yield Report

KES571 – 3BR in Babakan

Detailed financial projection report

Report elaborated on: 14/04/2026  ·  Lease duration: 25 years  ·  Property price: $385,000

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Investment Highlights


What follows are the results of the projections made by The Bali Homes team. We use real-world data from OTA platforms and our own experience and understanding of the market to find properties with similar characteristics and analyse their performance to use as a benchmark.

A leasehold villa that yields more than 10% net yield is performing above market average, 10% yield is typical, while below 10% it is underperforming.

Payback Period
9.1 yrs
Time to recover initial investment.
Yearly Net Yield
11.0%
Average annual net return.
Yearly Net Income
$42,137
Average net operational profit.
Average Daily Rate
$281
Average rental revenue per day (ADR).
Lease Duration
25 yrs
Total lease term excluding extensions.
Avg. Occupancy Rate
74.7%
Average occupancy rate.

The following chart shows your cumulative cash flow over time and your break-even point. Our model accounts for slight inflation over time and any assumption beyond a 5–10 year time frame is to be considered purely indicative.

Cumulative Cash Flow — Main Strategy (25 years)

Seasonality Analysis


The following is a calendar and related chart that shows fluctuations in revenue during the year due to the seasonality of Bali as a destination for tourists. If we made this report custom for you and you occupy your villa during a specific time period, the potential revenue for that month is subtracted and the results are influenced.

Seasonality Profile
JanM
FebM
MarL
AprL
MayM
JunH
JulH
AugH
SepM
OctL
NovL
DecH
High (H) – High season rate & occupancy
Mid (M) – Average of high & low season
Low (L) – Low season rate & occupancy
Owner (Own) – Owner occupied, $0 revenue
Monthly Financial Breakdown — 5-Year Average

Annual Financial Performance


Revenue, operational costs and net profits for this villa in the initial 10 years.

Avg. Yearly Revenue
$76,612
Average total revenue per year from operations in first 5 years.
Cost / Revenue
45.0%
Total % from revenue for management, utilities/maint., taxes, and OTA fees.
Avg. Yearly Cost
$34,475
Average total operational costs per year in first 5 years.
Revenue vs Costs vs Net Profit

The following table shows your projected cash flow over time up to 10 years, along with the average occupancy rate, which fluctuates over time to simulate evolving seasons and thus a more realistic forecast.

YearRevenueOp. CostsOp. Net Profit Add. CostCash Flow (Net)Avg. Occ.
1 $71,276 $32,074 $39,202 $3,850 −$349,648 70.8%
2 $68,722 $30,925 $37,797 −$311,851 79.4%
3 $81,310 $36,589 $44,720 −$267,131 76.0%
4 $78,868 $35,491 $43,377 −$223,753 69.5%
5 $82,884 $37,298 $45,586 −$178,167 78.0%
6 $72,251 $32,513 $39,738 −$138,429 73.4%
7 $81,163 $36,523 $44,640 −$93,789 74.5%
8 $73,825 $33,221 $40,604 −$53,186 70.5%
9 $89,469 $40,261 $49,208 −$3,978 70.3%
10 $90,973 $40,938 $50,035 $46,058 71.6%
Showing 10 of 25 years.

Scenario Analysis


The following is the stress test for this villa. It shows three different cases for your villa venture, aiming to illustrate various market conditions and potential outcomes of your investment.

Worst Case
Avg. daily rate$254
Avg. Occupancy64.7%
Est. Payback11.4 yrs
5-yr Net Yield8.8%
Average Case
Avg. daily rate$282
Avg. Occupancy74.7%
Est. Payback9.1 yrs
5-yr Net Yield11.0%
Best Case
Avg. daily rate$310
Avg. Occupancy84.5%
Est. Payback7.4 yrs
5-yr Net Yield13.5%

The following chart plots the three cases (worst, average and best) and aims to provide an idea of your operational band, where the worst is the bottom (red) and the green is the ceiling (best case). This is realistically the range in which you will operate over time.

Cumulative Cash Flow Comparison

Alternative Strategy: Operate for 5 Years and Sell


This scenario models operating the villa for 5 years and then selling it as an active rental business. The resale value is based on the average net operational profit of the first 5 years — because for a prospective buyer, what matters most is the cash flow the business generates, not the physical asset — due to the nature of how leasehold properties work.

This model intentionally excludes any land or building appreciation. Adding such figures would be speculative and too easy to manipulate with arbitrary growth assumptions. The business value is what truly drives the price in reality. Read more about how this works →

Note on seasonality: To reflect true investment potential for a prospective buyer, this strategy assumes the property is rented full-time for the entire year (no owner occupation). It uses a standard Bali seasonality profile: High (Jun, Jul, Aug, Dec), Mid (Jan, Feb, May, Sep), and Low (Mar, Apr, Oct, Nov).
YearRevenueOp. CostsOp. Net ProfitAdd. CostCash Flow (Strategy)
1 $75,175 $33,829 $41,346 $3,850 −$347,504
2 $76,678 $34,505 $42,173 −$305,331
3 $78,212 $35,195 $43,017 −$262,314
4 $79,776 $35,899 $43,877 −$218,437
5 $81,372 $36,617 $44,754 $136,158 (incl. net resale)
Est. Sale Price
$344,267
Based on avg. 5-yr net profit × 10 multiplier, adjusted for remaining lease. Net to seller after 10% tax: $309,841
Strategy ROI
36.0%
Total return on investment (incl. additional costs) after 5 years operations & net resale.
Strategy Net Profit
$136,158
Total net profit of this 5-year strategy, after all costs & net resale.

Additional Costs / Capital Expenditures


Financial impact of planned additional costs or capital expenditures beyond the property price (e.g., lawyer fees, company setup), renovations, or extraordinary maintenance.

Total Additional Costs
$3,850
Sum of all planned additional cost/expenditure events.
Total Capital Invested
$388,850
Initial property price plus total additional costs/expenditures.
Planned Events
1
Number of separate cost/expenditure events planned.
YearDescriptionCost (USD)Covered by Prior Profit?Op. Net ProfitNet Cash Flow
1 Notary fee (acquisition) $3,850 No $39,202 −$349,648

Scenario Input Parameters


Core assumptions used to generate all financial projections in this report.

Core Property & Operations
Property price$385,000
Lease years25 years
Daily rate (high)$380
Daily rate (low)$220
Occupancy (high)84.0%
Occupancy (low)65.0%
Cost Structure
Management fee15.0%
Utilities & maintenance10.0%
Taxes10.0%
OTA fees10.0%
Total cost ratio45.0%
Growth & Market Dynamics
Annual inflationActive (2.0%)
Occupancy fluctuationActive (±10%)
1st year revenue penalty10.0%
Annual base growth trend2.0%
Max random fluctuation10.0%
5-Year Resale Strategy
Resale strategyActive
Resale multiplier10× Avg. 5-yr Net Profit
Sale tax on resale10.0%
Agency commissionInactive
Important considerations: Financial projections by The Bali Homes use inputs from market analysis and advisor experience. Real-world performance can be influenced by factors not explicitly modeled (location, management, economic changes, etc.). This report aims for a realistic, slightly pessimistic view to support critical decision-making. Discuss these projections with your The Bali Homes agent for tailored advice on your investment goals.
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More informations

About this report

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Bali rental strategies

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ROI: what to expect

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Successful Bali villa investment

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Must know about leasehold

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RESOURCES
FOR BALI INVESTORS

Wheter you are looking for a villa for sale in Bali or are just curious about the idea of exploring investment opportunities, below you can find a series of resources that will get you closer to your goals.