Investment Highlights
What follows are the results of the projections made by The Bali Homes team. We use real-world data from OTA platforms and our own experience and understanding of the market to find properties with similar characteristics and analyse their performance to use as a benchmark.
🧠Insider tip: A leasehold villa yielding above 10% net is performing above market average. 10% is typical — below that, it's underperforming.
Payback Period
8.2 yrs
Time to recover initial investment.
Yearly Net Yield
12.2%
Average annual net return.
Yearly Net Income
$23,451
Average net operational profit.
Average Daily Rate
$175
Average rental revenue per day (ADR).
Lease Duration
25 yrs
Total lease term excluding extensions.
Avg. Occupancy Rate
73.4%
Average occupancy rate.
The following chart shows your cumulative cash flow over time and your break-even point. Our model accounts for slight inflation over time and any assumption beyond a 5–10 year time frame is to be considered purely indicative.
🧠Insider tip: A payback period of 7–10 years is what, in most cases, is more realistic. Be wary of market operators claiming 4–5 year payback periods and 15–20%+ ROI consistently — it is unrealistic.
Cumulative Cash Flow — Main Strategy (25 years)
Seasonality Analysis
The following is a calendar and related chart that shows fluctuations in revenue during the year due to the seasonality of Bali as a destination for tourists. If we made this report custom for you and you occupy your villa during a specific time period, the potential revenue for that month is subtracted and the results are influenced.
Seasonality Profile
JanM
FebM
MarL
AprL
MayM
JunH
JulH
AugH
SepM
OctL
NovL
DecH
High (H) – High season rate & occupancy
Mid (M) – Average of high & low season
Low (L) – Low season rate & occupancy
Owner (Own) – Owner occupied, $0 revenue
Monthly Financial Breakdown — 5-Year Average
Annual Financial Performance
Revenue, operational costs and net profits for this villa.
Avg. Yearly Revenue
$46,902
Average total revenue per year from operations in first 5 years.
Cost / Revenue
50.0%
Total % from revenue for management, utilities/maint., taxes, and OTA fees.
Avg. Yearly Cost
$23,451
Average total operational costs per year in first 5 years.
Revenue vs Costs vs Net Profit
Avg. Annual Cost Breakdown — First 5 Years
| Expense |
Avg. / Year |
% of Rev. |
| Management Fee |
$7,035 |
15.0% |
| Utilities & Maintenance |
$4,690 |
10.0% |
| Taxes |
$4,690 |
10.0% |
| OTA Fees |
$7,035 |
15.0% |
| Total Operating Costs |
$23,451 |
50.0% |
🧠
Insider tip: In addition to the costs above, consider $100–200 USD per year for Banjar tax and trash collection. These vary depending on which village your villa is located in and, like every other operational cost, are handled by the management company.
The following table shows your projected cash flow over time up to 10 years, along with the average occupancy rate, which fluctuates over time to simulate evolving seasons and thus a more realistic forecast.
| Year | Revenue | Op. Costs | Op. Net Profit |
Add. Cost | Cash Flow (Net) | Avg. Occ. |
| 1 |
$45,317 |
$22,658 |
$22,658 |
$1,990 |
−$178,332 |
77.6% |
| 2 |
$49,121 |
$24,560 |
$24,560 |
— |
−$153,771 |
68.0% |
| 3 |
$42,612 |
$21,306 |
$21,306 |
— |
−$132,465 |
70.4% |
| 4 |
$46,738 |
$23,369 |
$23,369 |
— |
−$109,096 |
77.1% |
| 5 |
$50,724 |
$25,362 |
$25,362 |
— |
−$83,734 |
73.8% |
| 6 |
$51,136 |
$25,568 |
$25,568 |
— |
−$58,166 |
78.0% |
| 7 |
$55,057 |
$27,528 |
$27,528 |
— |
−$30,638 |
79.9% |
| 8 |
$51,398 |
$25,699 |
$25,699 |
— |
−$4,939 |
73.4% |
| 9 |
$53,470 |
$26,735 |
$26,735 |
— |
$21,796 |
69.5% |
| 10 |
$52,252 |
$26,126 |
$26,126 |
— |
$47,922 |
68.0% |
| Showing 10 of 25 years. |
Scenario Analysis
The following is the stress test for this villa. It shows three different cases for your villa venture, aiming to illustrate various market conditions and potential outcomes of your investment.
Worst Case
Avg. daily rate$158
Avg. Occupancy63.4%
Est. Payback10.3 yrs
5-yr Net Yield9.7%
Average Case
Avg. daily rate$176
Avg. Occupancy73.4%
Est. Payback8.2 yrs
5-yr Net Yield12.2%
Best Case
Avg. daily rate$193
Avg. Occupancy83.4%
Est. Payback6.7 yrs
5-yr Net Yield15.0%
🧠Insider tip: If your worst case yields between 8–10%, your property still generates more income than many traditional real estate markets worldwide.
The following chart plots the three cases (worst, average and best) and aims to provide an idea of your operational band, where the worst is the bottom (red) and the green is the ceiling (best case). This is realistically the range in which you will operate over time.
🧠Insider tip: The management company or operator you choose will make the real difference. A well-managed, poorly designed property can be a gold mine in the right hands — and the opposite is equally true.
Cumulative Cash Flow Comparison
Alternative Strategy: Operate for 5 Years and Sell
This scenario models operating the villa for 5 years and then selling it as an active rental business. The resale value is based on the average net operational profit of the first 5 years — because for a prospective buyer, what matters most is the cash flow the business generates, not the physical asset — due to the nature of how leasehold properties work.
This model intentionally excludes any land or building appreciation. Adding such figures would be speculative and too easy to manipulate with arbitrary growth assumptions. The business value is what truly drives the price in reality. Read more about how this works →
Note on seasonality: To reflect true investment potential for a prospective buyer, this strategy assumes the property is rented full-time for the entire year (no owner occupation). It uses a standard Bali seasonality profile: High (Jun, Jul, Aug, Dec), Mid (Jan, Feb, May, Sep), and Low (Mar, Apr, Oct, Nov).
| Year | Revenue | Op. Costs | Op. Net Profit | Add. Cost | Cash Flow (Strategy) |
|---|
| 1 |
$42,704 |
$21,352 |
$21,352 |
$1,990 |
−$179,638 |
| 2 |
$43,558 |
$21,779 |
$21,779 |
— |
−$157,859 |
| 3 |
$44,429 |
$22,214 |
$22,214 |
— |
−$135,645 |
| 4 |
$45,317 |
$22,659 |
$22,659 |
— |
−$112,986 |
| 5 |
$46,224 |
$23,112 |
$23,112 |
— |
$70,132 (incl. net resale) |
Est. Sale Price
$177,785
Based on avg. 5-yr net profit × 10 multiplier, adjusted for remaining lease. Net to seller after 10% tax: $160,007
Strategy ROI
35.9%
Total return on investment (incl. additional costs) after 5 years operations & net resale.
Strategy Net Profit
$70,132
Total net profit of this 5-year strategy, after all costs & net resale.
Additional Costs / Capital Expenditures
Financial impact of planned additional costs or capital expenditures beyond the property price (e.g., lawyer fees, company setup), renovations, or extraordinary maintenance.
Total Additional Costs
$1,990
Sum of all planned additional cost/expenditure events.
Total Capital Invested
$200,990
Initial property price plus total additional costs/expenditures.
Planned Events
1
Number of separate cost/expenditure events planned.
| Year | Description | Cost (USD) | Covered by Prior Profit? | Op. Net Profit | Net Cash Flow |
|---|
| 1 |
Notary fee |
$1,990 |
No |
$22,658 |
−$178,332 |
Scenario Input Parameters
Core assumptions used to generate all financial projections in this report.
Core Property & Operations
Property price$199,000
Lease years25 years
Daily rate (high)$200
Daily rate (low)$130
Occupancy (high)84.0%
Occupancy (low)62.0%
Cost Structure
Management fee15.0%
Utilities & maintenance10.0%
Taxes10.0%
OTA fees15.0%
Total cost ratio50.0%
Growth & Market Dynamics
Annual inflationActive (2.0%)
Occupancy fluctuationActive (±10%)
1st year revenue penalty5.0%
Annual base growth trend2.0%
Max random fluctuation10.0%
5-Year Resale Strategy
Resale strategyActive
Resale multiplier10× Avg. 5-yr Net Profit
Sale tax on resale10.0%
Agency commissionInactive
Important considerations: Financial projections by The Bali Homes use inputs from market analysis and advisor experience. Real-world performance can be influenced by factors not explicitly modeled (location, management, economic changes, etc.). This report aims for a realistic, slightly pessimistic view to support critical decision-making. Discuss these projections with your The Bali Homes agent for tailored advice on your investment goals.
Investment Yield Report
