The Bali Homes
ArthaBase
Investment Yield Report

KES515 1BR in Pererenan

Detailed financial projection report

Lease duration: 29 years  ·  Property price: $175,000

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KES515 1BR in Pererenan

Financial Summary

Investment Highlights

What follows are the results of the projections made by The Bali Homes team using data from ArthaBase, the leading real estate analytics platform in Bali. We use real-world OTA data and our own experience and understanding of the market to find properties with similar characteristics and analyse their performance to use as a benchmark.

Insider tip: A leasehold villa yielding above 10% net is performing above market average. 10% is typical and below that it is underperforming.
Payback Period
9.8 yrs
Time to recover capital.
Yearly Net Yield
10.2%
Average annual net return.
Yearly Net Income
$16,515
Avg. net operating profit.
Avg. Daily Rate
$145
Per occupied night (ADR).
Lease Duration
29 yrs
Lease term, no extensions.
Occupancy Rate
70.8%
Share of nights occupied.

The following chart shows your cumulative cash flow over time and your break-even point. Our model accounts for slight inflation over time and any assumption beyond a 5–10 year time frame is to be considered purely indicative.

Insider tip: A payback period of 7–10 years is what, in most cases, is more realistic. Be wary of market operators claiming 4–5 year payback periods and 15–20%+ ROI consistently as it is unrealistic.
Cumulative Cash Flow (29 years)

Seasonality

Seasonality Analysis

The following is a calendar and related chart that shows fluctuations in revenue during the year due to the seasonality of Bali as a destination for tourists. If we made this report custom for you and you occupy your villa during a specific time period, the potential revenue for that month is subtracted and the results are influenced.

Seasonal Profile
JanH
FebL
MarL
AprL
MayM
JunM
JulH
AugH
SepM
OctL
NovL
DecH
High (H) – High season rate and occupancy
Mid (M) – Average of high and low season
Low (L) – Low season rate and occupancy
Owner (Own) – Owner occupied, $0 revenue
Monthly Financial Breakdown — 5-Year Average

Year by Year

Annual Financial Performance

Revenue, operational costs and net profits for this villa.

Yearly Revenue
$37,533
Ops revenue, yrs 1-5.
Cost / Revenue
56.0%
Ops costs as % of revenue.
Yearly Costs
$21,019
Operating costs, yrs 1-5.
Revenue vs Costs vs Net Profit
Avg. Annual Cost Breakdown — First 5 Years
Expense Avg. / Year % of Rev.
Management Fee $7,507 20.0%
Utilities & Maintenance $3,753 10.0%
Taxes $4,129 11.0%
OTA Fees $5,630 15.0%
Total Operating Costs $21,019 56.0%
Insider tip: In addition to the costs above, consider $100–200 USD per year for Banjar tax and trash collection. These vary depending on which village your villa is located in and, like every other operational cost, are handled by the management company.

The following table shows your projected cash flow over time up to 10 years, along with the average occupancy rate, which fluctuates over time to simulate evolving seasons and thus a more realistic forecast.

YearRevenueOp. CostsOp. Net Profit Add. CostCash Flow (Net)Avg. Occ.
1 $35,691 $19,987 $15,704 $1,750 -$161,046 73.4%
2 $35,916 $20,113 $15,803 -$145,243 67.3%
3 $38,798 $21,727 $17,071 -$128,172 71.8%
4 $39,784 $22,279 $17,505 -$110,667 71.8%
5 $37,478 $20,987 $16,490 -$94,177 69.6%
6 $43,988 $24,633 $19,355 -$74,822 70.5%
7 $39,369 $22,047 $17,322 -$57,500 71.9%
8 $46,923 $26,277 $20,646 -$36,854 69.2%
9 $46,385 $25,976 $20,410 -$16,444 67.3%
10 $46,712 $26,159 $20,553 $4,109 67.0%
Showing 10 of 29 years.

Risk Assessment

Scenario Analysis

The following is the stress test for this villa. It shows three different cases for your villa venture, aiming to illustrate various market conditions and potential outcomes of your investment.

Worst Case
Avg. Daily Rate$131
Avg. Occupancy60.6%
Est. Payback12.2 yrs
5-yr Net Yield8.2%
Average Case
Avg. Daily Rate$145
Avg. Occupancy70.8%
Est. Payback9.8 yrs
5-yr Net Yield10.2%
Best Case
Avg. Daily Rate$159
Avg. Occupancy81.0%
Est. Payback8.0 yrs
5-yr Net Yield12.4%
Insider tip: If your worst case yields between 8–10%, your property still generates more income than many traditional real estate markets worldwide.

The following chart plots the three cases (worst, average and best) and aims to provide an idea of your operational band, where the worst is the floor (red) and the best is the ceiling (green). This is realistically the range in which you will operate over time.

Insider tip: The management company or operator you choose will make the real difference. A well-managed, poorly designed property can be a gold mine in the right hands and the opposite is equally true.
Cumulative Cash Flow Comparison

Cost Planning

Additional Costs & Capital Expenditures

Financial impact of planned additional costs or capital expenditures beyond the property price (e.g., lawyer fees, company setup), renovations, or extraordinary maintenance.

Extra Costs
$1,750
Planned capex and fees.
Total Invested
$176,750
Property price plus extras.
Planned Events
1
Separate cost events.
YearDescriptionCost (USD)Covered by Prior Profit?Op. Net ProfitNet Cash Flow
1 Acquisition fee $1,750 No $15,704 -$161,046

Methodology

Scenario Input Parameters

Core assumptions used to generate all financial projections in this report.

Core Property & Operations
Property price$175,000
Lease years29 years
Rental modeShort-Term
Daily rate (high)$180
Daily rate (low)$120
Occupancy (STR)80.0%
Occupancy (low)60.0%
Cost Structure
Management fee20.0%
Utilities & maintenance10.0%
Taxes11.0%
OTA fees15.0%
Total cost ratio56.0%
Growth & Market Dynamics
Annual inflationActive (2.0%)
Occupancy fluctuationActive
1st year revenue penalty12.0%
Annual base growth trend3.0%
Max random fluctuation8.0%
Important considerations: Financial projections by The Bali Homes use inputs from market analysis and advisor experience. Real-world performance can be influenced by factors not explicitly modeled (location, management, economic changes, etc.). This report aims for a realistic, slightly pessimistic view to support critical decision-making. Discuss these projections with your The Bali Homes agent for tailored advice on your investment goals.
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ROI: what to expect

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Successful Bali villa investment

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Must know about leasehold

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RESOURCES
FOR BALI INVESTORS

Wheter you are looking for a villa for sale in Bali or are just curious about the idea of exploring investment opportunities, below you can find a series of resources that will get you closer to your goals.